plumiEstimating and comparing probabilities: Edexcel GCSE Statistics questions
Every Edexcel GCSE Statistics exam question on 3a Estimating and comparing probabilities, 2019–2025, with its mark scheme and examiner’s report.
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All 38 questions on Estimating and comparing probabilities, as a list
- June 2025, Paper 1 Foundation, Q1 (5 marks): Chiara spins a fair 8‑sided spinner. 1 6 2 6 2 4 3 4 (a) Circle the word from the list that best describes the likelihood that the spinner lands on a 5 certain
- June 2025, Paper 2 Higher, Q1 (3 marks): Elijah has a coin. Elijah says, “I predict that the probability of flipping a head on this coin is 50%” (a) Name the type of probability that Elijah has given.
- June 2025, Paper 2 Foundation, Q1 (2 marks): Below are 10 cards from a game. (a) Complete this two‑way table. Black White Total Star 3 1 4 Circle Total One of the 10 cards is picked at random. (b) Write do
- June 2025, Paper 2 Foundation, Q5 (6 marks): Claire has a spinner. green red pink blue yellow She spins the spinner 10 times and records the colour the spinner lands on. It lands on red 3 times. (a) Using
- June 2024, Paper 1 Foundation, Q5 (6 marks): Carol spins the two spinners A and B. She adds their scores together. A B 2 1 2 1 3 4 3 (a) Complete the sample space diagram below to show all the possible tot
- June 2024, Paper 2 Higher, Q3 (4 marks): Khatia organises two different training courses, Course A and Course B, to help people to learn to type. She wants to compare the two different courses to see w
- June 2024, Paper 2 Foundation, Q1 (4 marks): David has 10 cards each with a single letter on it as shown. A A A A A B B C D D A card is picked at random. (a) Underline the word from the list below that bes
- June 2024, Paper 2 Foundation, Q2 (3 marks): Jenny is investigating how many days per week people use a gym. She asks the 40 people in her fitness group how often they use the gym each week. Jenny draws th
- June 2024, Paper 2 Foundation, Q4 (6 marks): Tachi collects data on the heights, in metres, of a sample of Egyptian pyramids. Here is her data. 136.4 101.1 104 62.6 138.8 65.5 93.5 (Source: www.rankred.com
- June 2024, Paper 2 Foundation, Q12 (4 marks): Khatia organises two different training courses, Course A and Course B, to help people to learn to type. She wants to compare the two different courses to see w
- June 2023, Paper 1 Higher, Q8 (8 marks): Ian collects information about whether drivers have had advanced driver training and whether they have exceeded the speed limit in the last month. He finds that
- June 2023, Paper 1 Foundation, Q2 (6 marks): Jonathan has a fair 6-faced dice which has the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 on its faces. Jonathan rolls his dice once. (a) On the probability scale below, mark
- June 2023, Paper 2 Higher, Q5 (4 marks): Roslyn makes two spinners. 2 C 2 D 5 B 2 3 E 3 A Spinner X Spinner Y To test if each spinner is fair, she spins each spinner 60 times and records the side it la
- June 2023, Paper 2 Higher, Q6 (8 marks): The table shows information about the times, in minutes, taken for 52 people to complete a 5 km race. Time (t minutes) Frequency 16 < t 20 7 20 < t 24 25 24
- June 2023, Paper 2 Foundation, Q2 (8 marks): Norbert asked each of the students in his class to name their favourite fruit from Apple, Banana, Orange or Pear. The results are shown below. Banana Orange App
- June 2023, Paper 2 Foundation, Q3 (4 marks): Keshav has a spinner with equal sections numbered 1, 2, 3 and 4 1 2 4 3 To investigate whether or not the spinner is biased towards the number 1 he spins the sp
- June 2023, Paper 2 Foundation, Q5 (8 marks): Linzi is the owner of a coffee shop and makes afternoon teas for customers. The customers have an option of egg or ham sandwiches and an option of plain or frui
- June 2022, Paper 1 Foundation, Q2 (5 marks): Rahul has a 5-sided spinner. 1 2 1 3 1 The spinner is a fair spinner. (a) Explain what the word fair means in this description of the spinner. Rahul is going to
- June 2022, Paper 1 Foundation, Q6 (7 marks): Northern Stationery Supplies has only three branches, one in each of Manchester, Rotherham and York. Employees working at Northern Stationery Supplies work eith
- June 2022, Paper 2 Higher, Q1 (4 marks): Tomasz found information about the weather on the Isle of Skye for the 31 days of May 2019 and the 31 days of July 2019 The table gives, for the Isle of Skye, s
- June 2022, Paper 2 Higher, Q7 (8 marks): Andy is investigating the lateness of the trains that arrive at Manchester Piccadilly. (a) Explain why it is sensible for Andy to collect secondary data for his
- June 2022, Paper 2 Foundation, Q2 (6 marks): The table shows information about the results of a survey into ‘Charitable Giving and Social Activity’ over a four week period. For example, 40% of all of those
- June 2022, Paper 2 Foundation, Q3 (4 marks): The following four sentences are about different events. A The likelihood of an event is evens. B An event is certain to happen. C When a fair dice numbered 1 t
- June 2022, Paper 2 Foundation, Q7 (6 marks): On her drive to work Hinata passes through two sets of traffic lights. The traffic lights work independently. On any day that Hinata drives to work the probabil
- June 2022, Paper 2 Foundation, Q9 (3 marks): The table gives, for the Isle of Skye, the number of days with rainfall during the 30 days of April 2019 and during the 30 days of June 2019 Month April June Nu
- November 2021, Paper 1 Foundation, Q4 (7 marks): Bryce and Mary have a spinner that can land on yellow or on blue or on red. They want to estimate the probability that when the spinner is spun it will land on
- November 2021, Paper 1 Foundation, Q6 (9 marks): The multiple bar charts show information about the percentages of the population in each of Japan and of Kenya that are in each of five different age groups. 45
- November 2021, Paper 2 Foundation, Q1 (4 marks): Marisa has 6 tiles. Each tile has a number on it. Here are Marisa’s tiles. 1 2 2 2 3 1 Marisa puts her tiles in a bag. Marisa takes at random a tile from the ba
- November 2020, Paper 1 Foundation, Q1 (4 marks): Jon is investigating the colour of the eyes of all the students at his school. He recorded the colour of the eyes of a sample of 20 students in his class. 12 10
- November 2020, Paper 2 Higher, Q5 (5 marks): A supermarket manager is planning the design of a new petrol station. He wants to use the results of spinning a coin to simulate on which side of a car the fuel
- November 2020, Paper 2 Foundation, Q1 (5 marks): The probability scale below shows information about 7 events, each represented by a different letter. A B C D E F G 0 1 1 2 Ruth rolls a fair 6‑sided dice once.
- November 2020, Paper 2 Foundation, Q4 (10 marks): Richard finds information from the internet about the most popular colours for cars in the UK in 2017 Table 1 gives this information. Rank Colour Percentage of
- November 2020, Paper 2 Foundation, Q12 (5 marks): Emma asks each person in a group of people on the second day of their summer holiday whether they wear sunblock and whether they have sunburn. The table gives i
- June 2019, Paper 1 Foundation, Q1 (4 marks): A bag contains 8 coloured beads. There are 4 blue beads, 2 red beads, 1 green bead, 1 yellow bead. A bead is picked at random from the bag. (a) Underline the wo
- June 2019, Paper 2 Foundation, Q1 (8 marks): Jools surveyed 40 members of his youth club to ask each of them their favourite type of music. Some information about his results is shown in the incomplete tab
- June 2019, Paper 2 Foundation, Q2 (5 marks): The employees in an office were asked the following question. “How generous do you feel is the amount of time allowed for your lunch break?” This is not a good
- June 2019, Paper 2 Foundation, Q5 (5 marks): A supermarket manager recorded the total number of each type of bank note in the tills when the supermarket closed one Saturday. Here are his results. Bank note
- June 2019, Paper 2 Foundation, Q9 (5 marks): Katrina travels to work by train or by bus or by car. The table gives some information about her 200 journeys to work last year. Number of Number of times Trave
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